Ethereum options signal a rekindling of market optimism: QCP Capital

Quick Take

  • Ethereum options’ implied volatility has soared for near-term dated contracts, according to QCP Capital analysts.
  • They observed heavy buying activity of ether top-side calls and noted that ether ETF flows could propel the digital asset above $4,000 toward its peak of $4,800.

Ethereum ETH -0.43% spot prices have rebounded in early-day trading, with implied volatility increasing significantly for near-term ether options contracts, analysts said.

"Ethereum spot prices have sharply rebounded from a morning low of $3,400, with implied volatility notably rising to 65% in the front end," QCP Capital analysts said.

This observation aligns with The Block's Data Dashboard, which indicates that the current levels of implied volatility for seven-day at-the-money ether options has increased above 62% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum ATM options implied volatility across all ranges has remained elevated since the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved spot ether exchange-traded funds on Thursday, May 23.

The analysts added that this strong bullish sentiment is supported by two developments. The first is that the SEC is closing its investigation into Ethereum 2.0, ruling out any charges alleging that sales of ether are securities transactions. The second is that prospective issuers of spot ether ETFs are reportedly responding to SEC comments and aim to hand them back this week.

Ethereum could surge close to an all-time high

QCP Capital analysts added that the options market has reflected this optimism.

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"The desk is observing heavy buying activity of top-side calls across various tenors, and despite uncertainty around the reception of the spot ether ETF, capturing 10-20% of spot bitcoin ETF flows, could propel ether above $4,000, nearing its peak of $4,800," they added.

Ether's price increased by over 1.5% in the past 24 hours and was changing hands for $3,587 at 4:44 a.m. ET, according to The Block’s Price Page

The GM 30 Index, representing a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, decreased by 1.17% to 132.75 in the same period.


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About Author

Brian McGleenon is a UK-based markets reporter for The Block. He has worked as a financial journalist and producer for multiple news outlets over the years, such as Fuji Television, The Independent, Yahoo Finance, The Evening Standard, and The Daily Express. Brian is also a screenwriter and producer with one feature film produced and one in development with Northern Ireland Screen. Apart from web3 and cryptocurrency developments, he is also interested in geopolitics, environmental issues, artificial intelligence, and longevity research. Get in touch via email [email protected].

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