Ether options’ implied volatility outpaces bitcoin options as traders eye spot ETFs rollout

Quick Take

  • Analysts observed higher implied volatility in ether options compared to bitcoin options.
  • This may suggest expectations of more significant price movements for ether, likely due to the upcoming rollout of spot ETH ETFs.

The higher implied volatility in ether ( ETH -1.20% ) options compared to bitcoin options indicates that traders are anticipating increased price fluctuations for ether, possibly in response to the upcoming launch of a spot ETH exchange-traded funds, analysts say.

According to a report from QCP Capital on Tuesday, anticipation surrounding the upcoming launch of spot ether ETFs is currently the main driver of the cryptocurrency market, and this is reflected in the implied volatility (IV) of ether options, which is significantly higher than the IV for bitcoin. Implied volatility in this case is market's forecast of a likely movement in price for ETH. 

"Bullishness is likely to continue as the market waits for the spot ether ETF to usher in new demand, with the options market certainly reflecting this, with ether vols [IV] still trading 15% over bitcoin vols," QCP Capital analysts said.

Ether options implied volatility higher than that for bitcoin

This observation aligns with The Block's Data Dashboard, which indicates that the current levels of implied volatility for at-the-money (ATM) ether options have remained elevated since the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved spot ether ETFs on Thursday, May 23.

RELATED INDICES

In contrast to this, using the Deribit Volatility Index, which measures the market's expectation of future volatility for bitcoin over the next 30 days, the Block's Data Dashboard shows that implied volatility for bitcoin has dropped significantly since mid-May.

Although the SEC approved spot ether ETFs in mid-May, unlike bitcoin ETFs, which began trading the day after approval, ether ETFs may not begin trading on exchanges for several weeks or even months.

Ether's price slid slightly by 1.3% over the past 24 hours and was changing hands for $3,762 at 7:57 a.m. ET, according to The Block’s Price PageThe GM 30 Index, representing a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, decreased by 0.34% to 145.09 in the same period.


Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2023 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

Brian McGleenon is a UK-based markets reporter for The Block. He has worked as a financial journalist and producer for multiple news outlets over the years, such as Fuji Television, The Independent, Yahoo Finance, The Evening Standard, and The Daily Express. Brian is also a screenwriter and producer with one feature film produced and one in development with Northern Ireland Screen. Apart from web3 and cryptocurrency developments, he is also interested in geopolitics, environmental issues, artificial intelligence, and longevity research. Get in touch via email [email protected].

Editor

To contact the editor of this story:
Vishal Chawla at
[email protected]